New Jersey Democrats in Strong Position to Flip GOP Districts

Poll: New Jersey Democrats in Strong Position to Flip GOP Districts

"Democratic candidates are out-working and out-organizing vulnerable Republican incumbents across the largest House battlefield in over a decade".

WaPo's poll found that 40 percent of likely voters approve of the president, up slightly from 36 percent in January. Almost 68 percent of both Republican-leaning and Democratic-leaning registered voters say they are certain they will vote in November elections, which contrasts with the Post-ABC polling before the 2010 and 2014 midterm cycles. So, in an astonishing flip, Klarman, at one point New England's most generous donor to Republicans, is taking his money elsewhere: He's heaping cash on Democrats. He still faces a disapproval rating of 56 percent, according to poll, which is a higher rating than any president at this stage since the dawn of modern polling.

However, in the past two elections, these districts averaged a 22-point advantage for Republicans.

If the result holds in November, it could spell trouble for the five Republican representatives in the state.

"His words and actions over the last several days are so shockingly unacceptable in our diverse and democratic society that it is simply unthinkable that Donald Trump could become our president", Klarman told Reuters in 2016.

Other public polls have found a narrowing in Democrats' midterm advantage, although it has been less sharp than in the Post-ABC poll. Exactly the CNN poll had showed a Democratic advantage in February.

A March 2-9 CNN poll found the generic congressional ballot had tightened to some 6-point lead for Democrats.

At the same time, white voters with college degrees, a competitive voting bloc, are 14 points more likely to say they are certain to vote than whites with some college or less, a group that has increasingly favored Republicans and voted for Trump at record levels. Democrats are counting on strong turnout among women to help their candidates in November.

Three-quarters of voters who prioritize enacting new gun laws support Democrats for Congress, whereas 80 percent of likely voters who believe gun rights are more important support Republicans.

The political climate has not been hospitable to Republicans, who see the governorship and state legislature controlled by Democrats.

Still, the analysis of federal campaign finance disclosures also shows that the average Republican candidate has raised more funds than the average Democrat.

The Democrats held a 54 percent to 35 percent edge in the Monmouth University poll's generic ballot holds up, threatening five Republican-held seats. Fewer, but still half, call it important for them to back a candidate who shares their view of Donald Trump, and a yet small number, about a third, are looking for a candidate who agrees with them about Nancy Pelosi, the House Democratic leader. Among Republicans, she is well-known and widely disliked, with 74 percent holding unfavorable views of her, 63 percent strongly.

The poll was conducted April 8-11 among 1,002 adults and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Nearly half of N.J. registered voters, 48 percent, said they expected to pay more in federal taxes even as New Jersey already sends billions of dollars more to Washington than it receives in services.



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