4 maps showing Hurricane Jose's path in the Atlantic

Hurricane Jose may be taking a shift to the east as it moves up through the Atlantic, though its forecast cone still encompasses about half of the state. This general motion is expected today, follow by a turn to the north-northwest by late Saturday and toward the north on Sunday.

But swells from the storm are expected to affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the northern coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico and the Southeast coast over the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

As of 5 p.m. ET, Jose had winds of 100 miles per hour, making it a Category 2 storm. Of 20 runs of the GFS model ensemble forecast Monday morning, 25% resulted in an eventual landfall in the US, and another 25% in Canada.

The official forecast track from the hurricane center puts Jose as a strong tropical storm Wednesday 225 miles southeast of NY.

The hurricane center says it is tracking two potentially troubling systems behind Jose, out over the open Atlantic Ocean.

Jose is expected to stay a few hundred miles off the coast of North Carolina before staying east of Virginia Tuesday morning and east of Massachusetts Wednesday morning.

The storm is forecast to pass well offshore of North Carolina early next week and could then menace New England. But it weakened after reaching that peak last weekend. While they are far from Miami, both show a 70 percent probability of becoming tropical depressions within five days.

As of 2 p.m. Saturday, the closer system, known as Tropical Depression 15, is moving west at 20 miles per hour, according to the National Weather Service. Upper-level winds from the northeast will probably prevent much more strengthening, the Hurricane Center said.



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